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Cibona shouldn't be such a dog in this match.It is true Oly has fabulous team, but IMO every team will have hard time in Zagreb.Let's say something about home team first.I watched Cibona against Maccabi, Le Mans and Crvena Zvezda and I can say Cibona's form is rising.Man who surprised me the most is Niksa Prkacin, fantastic center, 33 years old.He is showing great plays, scoring a lot, and playing great defense.Cibona is playing as team finnaly, and their defense is on level.Calloway is great defense player, and Marshall is fantastic shooter.They have Kus as playmaker, and great chemistry in team.On the other hand, when we look at Olympiacos team, and see names like Schortsanitis, Bourousis, Printezis or Vasilopoulos we can say they are great team, and when we realise that they are just backups, we see one of 3 best European team.They have great Papaloukas, first NBA star in Europe - Childress, Vujcic, Greer, all we can say is "the most expensive team in Europe".But does "the most expensive" mean that they should win anyone enywhere - IMO no, Cibona's crazy fans, full gym, and really good home team with chemestry will make a lot problems to away stars.I believe Cibona can even win this one, but I'll take them with handicap.

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Odds are going down rapidly on Ulker, but Nordicbet is still offering 3.10 on Ulker's win.IMO that is too high, and I'll take it with some lower stake.Joventut is good team at home, Malet is in great form, just like Wright, but I believe that will not be enough for win against great Ulker.But the reason why the odds are dropping is Mensah's injury, while Riki is out for longer period allready.Mensah means a lot to them, and they will miss him, as he is their key player.On the other side we see great Ulker in very good form, and I believe they will play on centers a lot in this game.When we see Ulker's games, against Tau in Spain and Alba in Turkey, we see big difference, they played much better in Spain, and I really can't find a reason why are they playing better away than they do at home, but doesn't metter it is good for my pick.If they show game like the one against Tau they could easily win.I believe Turcan, Green, Smith and rest have nice chances to win, and IMO odds shouldn't be more than 2.30-2.40, and this is pure value.

Which player will score more points?

This should be interesting one, and IMO it should be at least 50-50.Gonlum is Efes starter, but he doesn't take a lot of shots.He played against Partizan and Milano 62 minutes total, and took only 11 shots.He has very good averange of shot, but as I said he shots only when he has only really good situation.On the other hand we have very good Panionios guard, who is also starter for his team, but IMO he is much better shooter.It depens very much about him, as against Real he took only 4 shoots, and against CSKA, where his team scored 50 points, he scored 11, and took decent number of shoots.In this match Panionios will be without some important players, so I believe he will shoot even more than he did against CSKA, so this could be his evening.He played against PAOK very good for weekend and scored 21 point.I believe he will be more on court in this match than Gonlum, and IMO he has nice chances to win him in this one.

Which player will score more points?

Today I won't bet on any match result, I'll only take two player vs player bets.Dylewicz is not starter at Prokom, but plays a lot, around 25 minutes, and this year played against Montepaschi 30, and against Nancy 19 minutes.He doesn't shot a lot, around 10 times per match, and IMO he shouldn't pass 10 or 12 points in this match.Against Montepaschi he scored 6, and Nancy 12 points.On the other hand, Maciulis is starter for Zalgiris which is in problems lately.We all know about their finances problems, and they sold some players last year, and Brown this year.For this match Serbian Varda is injured, just like American Deane, so only one foreigner will play for them, great center Woods.So, when I look at that this way, Macilius should spend much more balls than he usually do, so he should score more, too.In first two matches he played very bad, and scored only 7 points on every match, but against Montepaschi he had 2/6 for two, and 1/3 for tree, and against Panathinaikos he had 0/4 for 2, 1/5 for 3, and free throws 4/10.I believe he will score around 15 today, as he will have much more balls to shot, and after two bad performances one should be good.

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Partizan had really tough calendar last two weeks.It all started in Beograd against Zadar, after +15, they had to play overtime and won by 3 points, and already in midweek they had to play against Efes Pilsen in Istanbul, and that was one very tough match for them again, they lost 61-60.After that, they didn't had a lot time to rest, already 3 days after they played in Zagreb against Zagreb, and again after -15 managed to play overtime, and won by 1 point in the end.This week they played at home against Real Madrid, and IMO that was hardest game of all I mentioned and they won it 81-77.It's sure that they are tired, physicaly and mentaly, and they are playing against very good team of Budućnost.Budućnost doesn't have hard games at all, they play only this league, and their national league is so weak, so whole their concentration will be in this league.They have very good team, and their scores show that.They have four wins, and only one lose.They have very good roster with players like Dašić, Gordić, Micov, or newcomers that are showin very good Simonović and Mišanović.I played already played against Tepić, Triković, Lasme and team, and every time they won in tight finish, so today Im' going to play on Budućnost with spread, and I wouldn't wonder if they win 'cause of my bad luck.

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I expect very tough match, and Cibona can't be such favorite in this match, this is 50:50.Cibona started bad in NLB, they have 2-3 score, and they have no right to lose again, especially at home.They are fighting with Zadar for Euroleague contract for next 3 years, but what we see till now is that they are much more concentrated on Euroleague.They won Maccabi at home and Le Mans away.Match against Le Mans was at Thursday, and they came home at friday afternoon.They had only one training for Crvena Zvezda match, and they had right to move match from Saturday to Sunday, but they would lose money from TV.Last week after win against Maccabi they went to Belgrade and lost to FMP with big difference, Crvena Zvezda is much better team than FMP is.Pešić is this year coach of CZ, and he mad really good team for this league, they have 5-0.They are playing very good, and don't play in Europe yet, so they only had to prepare for Cibona this week.He was trainer to Prkacin, Cibona's only good center in Dynamo Moscow and I think he know him very good.Cibona's advantage may be Marshall or Kus, but I think that will not be enough.For CZ Dragičević is back, but it is questonable is he going to play, but they have real chances to win even without him.

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Game is starting for an hour and half, but I just have to write this pick.I wrote already about Alkar, and I'm with them again.They showed they are serious team for this league, and they belong to top, where they would be if they hadn't lost game against Svjetlost that they lost in tight end, and they were in lead almost whole game.It's obvious home court means a lot in this league, as there is only one away win in 3 rounds and that was Kvarner's win 90-91 at Dubrovnik.Šibenik is playing very good at home, they won both games, against Trogir +22 and against Svjetlost +16, but this is going to be totally different match.This is derby between two teams from neigbour towns, Šibenik and Sinj.A lot away fans is going on that match, and their support is expected.Matches between these two teams were always interesting, and this year it will be even more interesting.Šibenik lost their tree best players from last year, Tomeljak, Vrkić and Drezga, but they bought Bilobrk from Split.But, what is very interesting, Bilobrk, before that one year in Split, spent all his childhood in Sinj, and played in all Alkar's yuonger teams.IMO this is derby, and it would be very surprising for me if some team would won over 10 points, and this spread -14 is set looking just on last matches of this teams, and home Šibenik games.

What to say, I wrote about both teams few times already, and I will just repeat what most metters and add some new news.FMP won My Guide Amsterdam in Eurochallange with 15+ at home, and after that won easily against Cibona.It's obvious that team finnaly found good form, and it should continoue.They have very young, talented roster, with years averange of 20.All of their players came from their great basketball academy, and players like Labović, Samardžiski or Čović already showed their great value.On the other hand, Bosnia is total opposite.After surprising win at Helios they have 4 loses in row.They lost to Zagreb and Hemofar at home, Budoćnost and against Zadar, in the match I will remember for a long time - Zadar won by 44, away.Afer that lose, coach Alen Abaz stepped away, and left the team.They are still looking for new coach, and this match will lead Abaz assistents Goran Šehovac and Senad Redžić, and both of them are young and unexperienced coaches.This is going to be hard match for them, they are begging their fans to came and support them.Their capten and best player by far, Goran Ikonić sais that FMP is clear favorite in this match, but they will try to stay close in this match.IMO away win is very possible, and I believe they can win with at least 7-8 points difference without tough end.